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According to CMAI's forecast, before 2007, global styrene demand will continue to grow at an average annual rate of 4%, and styrene plant operating rate will also maintain at over 90%. However, as new production capacity starts in 2008, operating rate will drop to 90. %the following. Benzene usually accounts for about half of styrene production costs, and now accounts for nearly 2/3 of the cost, benzene has become the biggest problem for styrene and its derivatives companies, and may even affect the styrene industry's survival.
The North American styrene plant currently has an average operating rate of about 90%, and 20% of its production is exported, mainly in Asia. After China, which accounts for more than half of world demand, has reduced imports, the styrene price in the Asian spot market has fallen to US$990-1,000/ton (FOB), which is a drop of 200-240 US$/ton from the high level in early March.
According to industry analysts, Asia and the Middle East will have 5.3 million tons/year of new styrene capacity in the next three years. In 2007 alone, 2.3 million tons/year of production capacity will be put into operation. In the next two years, the increase in production capacity will exceed the increase in demand. speed.
Just as the profitability of most petrochemical products has been rising and approaching the peak in the near future, the styrene industry has been plagued by high raw material prices of benzene and other factors, and the profit level has been significantly lower than last year's peak level. The American Chemical Market Association (CMAI) pointed out that although global styrene prices are still at a high level and the operating rate is above 90%, due to the high benzene price and the new production capacity being put into operation, the profitability of the styrene industry will further increase. reduce.